After what most of us had to deal with this past winter, I think that we can about handle anything. The last third of March is the timeframe to watch most closely. March really hasn’t been too bad, other than some swinging back and forth with temperatures. That’s typical for spring though.
I want to make a couple of things clear. This upcoming cold blast won’t be anything like what many of you experienced in February. Yes, it’ll be a big difference from the springtime temps that have come this month, but cold during the winter is different than cold during the spring. Remember, 10, 20 or even 30 degrees below average in March is not the same thing as those kinds of departures from average in January or February.
With that said, the overall pattern will be similar to what was in place this February. Ridging will build over the western United States while a trough digs south of the central and eastern United States. The focus of the cold will be over the eastern third of the nation with the heart of the cold being over New England. This cold could come in several waves, meaning some of you may have some warm days throughout.
Expected temperature departures from average a week from Monday morning (March 23rd):
Expected temperatures a week from Monday morning (March 23rd):
Let’s briefly talk wintry weather. I strongly dislike forecasting early spring winter storms because they’re just so difficult to forecast. Forecasting winter storms during the winter is challenging, but that’s usually what I’m best at. During this period, there are going to be several systems that will move across the southern U.S. For the most part, these will likely be rainmakers for the more southern regions. At the same time, there are going to be some chances for snow in New England, giving places like Boston more snow. Parts of the Mid-Atlantic may have a shot at some snow later in the month also.
At the end of the month, there could be a system that brings wintry weather along the East Coast and heavy rains farther south. I’m going to continue to monitor this possibility and will bring it back up later in the week if it’s worth mentioning.
As I’m sure you can tell, I’m ready for winter to be over. This winter-like pattern will likely start to break down in April, bringer warmer temps for many. New England may try to hold onto winter a little longer than the rest of us.