Each summer, I release my preliminary winter forecast for the entire United States and attempt to give the Firsthand Weather audience an overview of what the upcoming winter could bring. My goal is to identify which regions could have colder or warmer temperatures, more or less snow/ice, above or below average rainfall, and much more. Some years are harder to forecast than others, and this could actually be one of those years. My goal is NOT to tell you how much snow you’re going to get in your backyard. That’s impossible to forecast even 24 hours out, let alone six months in advance.
The main reason I release a preliminary winter forecast is to have my months of research all in one place, and then I can go back and make corrections for my final forecast throughout the rest of the year. I typically release a very early winter forecast, and then my final winter forecast is released later than most. I have found that my preliminary ideas do not change much in the July to September time frame but tend to change more dramatically after October is over. Typically, I don’t have to make any huge modifications to the final forecast; however, each year is different.
On Sunday, July 19th at 2 pm ET, I will be releasing my preliminary winter forecast, a region-by-region breakdown that will include my official winter forecast map(s). In that article, I will be focusing on WHAT I believe each region should expect this winter, and the map will be numbered. Each numbered region will have a detailed forecast included. I will provide some of my reasoning behind the forecast, but it won’t be complicated at all.
On Sunday, July 26th at 2 pm ET, I will be releasing a winter forecast that will include the very detailed meteorology behind the forecast. This will be for those that enjoy a bit more of the heavy meteorology and written explanation. For most, the first forecast will be preferred. Both forecasts will be the exact same, except I’ll be getting much more into the WHY behind the forecast. I hope that you’ll consider reading both.
If that is confusing at all, just be on the site on both of those days at 2 pm ET, and you’ll see exactly what I mean!
Next Sunday (July 5th), I will start sending out my newsletter again. Many of you are already signed up, but if you aren’t or don’t know if you are, click here to sign up. Be sure to go to your email immediately afterwards (check your spam box if it’s not in your inbox), and confirm that you signed up. I’ve already explained earlier this year what you’ll be getting out of the newsletter, and it was very popular among the first group who received them. I am almost certain that there will be issues with some of you not getting the newsletter. I promise I will get all of that resolved, and if you have any issues getting it, check your spam. If it’s not there, get in contact with me.
I believe this covers about everything. Be sure to share this information with all of your friends and family on social media. I’m excited to get my winter ideas out to the public, and if you have any questions at all, feel free to get in contact with me.
The photo below was sent to Firsthand Weather last winter by David Waid from Helen, GA. I miss the snow, but lets enjoy some more summer first!