Sunday Snow Accumulations (Southeast)

Light snow is still expected across parts of the southeast on Sunday as a potent clipper dives into the area. Surface temperatures will be marginal, which will act to limit accumulations and possibly allow for a light rain/snow mixture across far northern parts of Alabama and Georgia. Another factor that will limit snowfall amounts is moisture. This system will create adequate lift, which will act to ‘squeeze’ out the available moisture, but moisture will be meager at the surface per the modeled soundings.

With that said, this system is potent (some instability will come into play), and light snow is possible across much of central and eastern Tennessee, far northern Alabama, northern Georgia, and western North Carolina. The snow will begin in Tennessee early Sunday morning and traverse towards the east-southeast throughout the day on Sunday, and continue into Monday morning for the mountains of North Carolina. Light accumulations are possible across the area; with higher elevations picking up a few inches.

Forecast Snowfall Accumulations: Sunday

Southeast Snow Update

Cooler temperatures have replaced the warm temperatures that dominated the southeast over the past several days. These cooler temperatures will help set the stage for the potential for a few areas to see frozen precipitation late this weekend. A potent disturbance will traverse towards southeast into the region due to the favorable upper-level flow. This clipper-like disturbance will generate enough lift for light precipitation to develop during the day on Sunday and into Sunday night.

Looking at modeled soundings for this timeframe, it is possible the precipitation may be a rain/snow mixture before changing over to all snow later in the day on Sunday. It should be noted, while this clipper will have strong lift associated with it, the moisture at the low-levels will be significantly lacking. This will keep precipitation light in nature. The lack of low-level moisture and marginal surface temperatures should keep accumulations light.

The best chance for snow will occur across Tennessee, northern Alabama, and northern Georgia on Sunday into Sunday night. I will keep a close eye on this system, and have an accumulations map (even though any accumulations should be minimal) by Saturday.

Snowfall Map For Sunday

Lake Effect Snow Machine slams into high gear

Cold air has returned to many areas in the East as a cold front advances off the Coast, as previously mentioned in Chris’s article.   This air, along with strong northwesterly winds, will combine with the unfrozen lakes to produce large quantities  of lake effect snow through this weekend.     I expect that the snow will continue to pile up through Sunday and beyond with some areas seeing several feet of snow.  New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Ohio, and Michigan will be impacted by this event.

lake effect

Above photos courtesy of NWS Buffalo and NWS Cleveland

 

Lake Effect Snow Warnings and Watches

Lake Effect Snow Warnings are in effect for Southern Erie, Wyoming, Cattaraugus and Chautauqua counties in Western New York.  The warning is in effect until 7:00 p.m. on January 29.  Storm total snowfall of 2 feet or more will be possible in the most persistent lake snows.

Lake Effect Snow Warnings are in effect for Jefferson, Oswego and Lewis counties in North Central New York.  The warning is in effect until 7:00 p.m. on January 29.  Storm total snowfall of 3 feet or more will be possible in the most persistent lake snows.

Lake Effect Snow Watches are in effect for Northern Erie and Genesee counties. The watch is in effect from morning through late night on Saturday January 28th.  Storm total snowfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches are possible in the most persistent lake snows.

A Lake Effect Snow Watch is in effect for Allegany County through the evening on Sunday January 29th.  Storm total snowfall accumulations of 10 to 20 inches are possible in the most persistent lake snows.

No advisories are issued in Michigan at this time but they will likely be issued later on.

Travel Hazards

Interstates 75, 80 , 81, and 90 should expect to see heavy precipitation at times from now through the weekend.  Visibility in these areas can be 10 miles one minute and then suddenly drop to white out conditions as you enter the snow bands.  Travel in this area should be taken with a maximum of preparations and should be avoided if at all possible.  We have all seen the images of backed up traffic where several inches of snow piles up very quickly on roadways that can’t be plowed with the cars in the way.

 

Rob

Southeast Snow?

One more mild day across the southeast (two days if you’re along the coastal region of the southeast) before temperatures take a tumble due to a cool front moving across the region. This will keep temperatures near or below normal into the weekend before the forecast become less benign. The southeast will be in a favorable upper-level flow in which a couple pieces of energy will rotate into the area. This will generate enough lift to potentially support light precipitation. Some of this precipitation will likely fall in the frozen variety; a few snow flurries/snow showers are possible for parts of the southeast.

The best chance for light wintry precipitation comes into the forecast Sunday into Sunday night. A shortwave will rotate across the south and southeast, which should generate enough lift for light precipitation to reach the ground. The moisture is meager at best, but I do believe what’s available will be ‘squeezed’ out across the region. The best chance for light snow will be across Tennessee and far northern parts of Alabama and Georgia. Looking a modeled soundings, initially a light rain/snow mixture may fall before the atmosphere cools enough to support all light snow/flurries. This is not a major event or a widespread event, but in this region we will take flurries and light snow anytime we can get it. It is too early to determine accumulation potential, but accumulations look very light at best.

Preliminary Snowfall Map (Sunday-Sunday Night)

Since this event is still a few days out and the model guidance is split on the evolution, a lot can change, so please keep checking back for changes and updates in the forecast.

Tornado Outbreak expected in Southeast

A significant Tornado outbreak and Severe Thunderstorm outbreak is expected across many areas in the Southeast, from Florida back into Alabama up through Georgia, South Carolina and parts of North Carolina.    The biggest risk is from northern Florida into Southern Georgia with smaller risks as far west as Eastern Mississippi up into Southern Virginia.

Tornado Outbreak forecast

Significant Severe Tornadoes expected

Tornado Outbreak
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
SIG SEVERE 95,336 13,200,743 Columbia, SC…Charleston, SC…

St. Petersburg, FL…Orlando, FL…

Savannah, GA…Gainsville, FL

30 % 52,311 4,824,800 Jacksonville, FL…Tallahassee, FL…

Savannah, GA…Gainesville, FL…

Albany, GA…

15 % 44,337 9,370,344 Tampa, FL…St. Petersburg, FL…

Columbia, SC…Clearwater, FL…

Charleston, SC…

10 % 42,022 5,926,863 Orlando, FL…Columbus, GA…

Fayetteville, NC…Wilmington, NC…

Lakeland, FL…

5 % 81,803 21,852,295 Charlotte, NC…Atlanta, GA…

Miami, FL…Raleigh, NC…

Greensboro, NC…

2 % 48,102 6,722,417 Virginia Beach, VA…Norfolk, VA…

Birmingham, AL…Chesapeake, VA…

Winston-Salem, NC…

High Risk issued for Severe Weather

Categorical Day1 1300Z Outlook
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
HIGH 52,325 4,828,034 Jacksonville, FL…Tallahassee, FL…

Savannah, GA…Gainesville, FL…

Albany, GA…

MODERATE 44,236 9,345,964 Tampa, FL…St. Petersburg, FL…

Columbia, SC…Clearwater, FL…

Charleston, SC…

ENHANCED 54,540 8,455,690 Orlando, FL…Columbus, GA…

Cape Coral, FL…Fayetteville, NC…

Port St. Lucie, FL…

SLIGHT 68,779 19,272,935 Charlotte, NC…Atlanta, GA…

Miami, FL…Raleigh, NC…

Greensboro, NC…

MARGINAL 58,080 13,692,306  

Virginia Beach, VA….

Norfolk, VA…

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A strengthening mid and upper level trough currently over Texas and Oklahoma will shift eastward into Mississippi and Alabama by this afternoon with a cold front surging east from Louisiana and Mississippi.    This storm will deepen and move north-northeastward across Alabama and Georgia.  Dewpoints ahead of this cold front are already in the 65 to 70 degree range with very buoyant air present.  The net result of these factors will be the potential for a significant tornado outbreak today.

Severe Weather is currently taking place across parts of Alabama, Georgia and Florida and a Tornado Watch is in effect until 10 AM EST.  Cluster of severe storms remain from the overnight hours and the storm environment remains favorable for supercell development.  A few tornadoes are likely and they could be intense.  Damaging winds and Large hail are also possible with these storms.

Additional watches should be expected during the day today.

While the current storms across Georgia are present, the main risk does not occur until later this morning, when thunderstorm activity will begin again over Southern Alabama and the Florida panhandle.  These storms will the spread east-northeast across Florida and Georgia through the day.  Long tracked, strong tornadoes will be possible in fast moving supercells, in addition to damaging winds and large to very large hail.  The severe risk will spread northeastward into the Carolinas this evening as the system moves toward the Southern Appalachians.  Tornadic supercells could continue to occur in south Carolina and Southern North Carolina during the overnight hours.

Further South, the cold front will reach the remainder of Florida later this evening and overnight and bring the risk of severe thunderstorms and a few tornadoes.

Any and all preparations for this event should be concluded by early this afternoon.   This will be a very dangerous situation for many people.   Please be prepared and ready at a moments notice.   We here at Firsthand Weather will do our best to be with you every step of the way this afternoon but keep your weather radios handy and pay attention to your local news broadcasts for updates on warnings that occur.    Facebook likes to prevent you from seeing our page if we post a lot of posts, as we likely will this afternoon.   To see what we are writing, you will need to go directly to our facebook pages and website, please do not count on your newsfeed to give you our information.

 

Robert Millette

 

Southeast Severe Weather

Severe thunderstorms, and potentially a few tornadoes, are likely today across parts of the South and Southeast. At this hour, severe storms are ongoing across the Southeast. Overnight and into this morning, parts of Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, and Georgia have been impacted hard with this convection. There are reports coming out that the loss of life is at least four in Mississippi with injures also occurring in Alabama.

Hattiesburg, Mississippi Tornado Aftermath

The remnants of these storms are currently advancing through Georgia and South Carolina as the intense jet streak, which initiated these storms, treks eastward. The attention then turns to areas further west in the South for new thunderstorm initiation by this afternoon.

Another robust shortwave will move into the South this afternoon as a trough dives into the Southern Plains. This will allow for intense thunderstorms to erupt across far southeastern Oklahoma and northeastern Texas. As these thunderstorms move into Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, they’ll likely become severe; capable of producing tornadoes, damaging winds, very large hail, and flash flooding.

Initial Thunderstorm Development on Latest HRRR (will expand NE with time)

The greatest tornado threat will be in the vicinity of a micro-low-pressure system and a warm front, which should be draped across parts of southern Arkansas/northern Louisiana and into Mississippi. Short-range guidance is indicating this micro-low developing in southern Arkansas/western Mississippi with a clear boundary of deep moisture to its south, along with backing winds.

Micro-low Developing on Latest HRRR

The skies area already beginning to clear in this area so the atmosphere is undergoing rapid destabilization. This same area will have the risk of seeing very large hail too as very cold air aloft moves overhead. Thus, a moderate risk (red location on image below), from the Storm Prediction Center, is currently in place.

Thunderstorm Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center

Later in the evening hours, it’s likely the storms will continue to advance further east and new thunderstorm initiation will occur in eastern parts of Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina. This activity will continue into the nighttime hours and into Sunday morning. This region needs to be watched due to some uncertainties as to how the atmosphere recovers from the morning convection. The atmosphere has been worked over, but it currently appears the atmosphere will become unstable later today, which will allow for new thunderstorm development. All modes of severe thunderstorms are possible in this region as the jet streak moves eastward. Remnant outlflow boundaries and the evolution of the aforementioned micro-low could lead to local enhancemeggnts of tornadic risks for parts of this area, so we will monitor the convection evolution very closely in this region.

Thunderstorms moving into Alabama and Georgia Overnight on Latest HRRR

With all this said, do not panic. Just have a plan in place in case your local National Weather Service office issues a warning for your area. Stay alert to watches and warnings as they’re issued throughout the afternoon and evening hours. We will have updates as needed.

One other thing, many of you know Matthew has not been posting a lot lately. This is due to a family emergency. Matthew’s mother, Karen, is fighting stage four brain cancer. Her condition has rapidly deteriorated over the past few months, and the medical bills are piling up. Matthew has to care for his mom and make decisions for her. I created a gofundme in his name to assist in his and her needs during this rough time. There’s more information about her condition in this gofundme link, so please go read it if you’d like to find out more information and if you would like to help out:Matthew’s GoFundMe.

-Christopher

Significant storms impact both coasts

Active Pattern leads to a significant storms early next week:

Significant Storms are set to take place in an active pattern across the United States will bring severe weather to the Gulf Coast and Widespread rain with heavy mountain snow to the West.  These frequent West Coast fronts will eventually lead to a strong system developing in the south and moving off the coast of the Northeast.

Significant Storms

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to be widespread tonight in association with an upper level disturbance from portions of the Gulf Coast and Southeast to the Ohio valley and portions of the Great Lakes.   An evolving cluster of thunderstorms bring the risk for potentially damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado or two, across southeastern Alabama and portions of the western Florida Panhandle by late this evening.  An increasingly organized convective system is forecast across the region and extends the Severe risk into West Central and Southwestern Georgia overnight, but this system will continue to be just disorganized enough to only cause a few severe storms.  Issuance of a watch is not likely at this time.  Rain will spread northeast on Friday across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and lower Great Lakes. Farther south, another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop during the afternoon and evening along the Gulf Coast, some of which could once again become severe across the lower Mississippi Valley and adjacent Gulf coastal areas.  Primary convective development may occur in response to strengthening low-level warm advection on the leading edge of the deeper/more favorable low-level moisture return.  This is expected across parts of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico/upper Texas and Louisiana coastal areas Friday evening, northeastward through portions of southern Louisiana and central Mississippi Friday night, primarily as a risk for severe hail.  By late Friday night, forcing for ascent may become strong enough southward toward southeast Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama coastal areas, to overcome inhibition and support increasing convective development.  In the presence of increasing boundary layer based instability, the risk for supercells with potential for tornadoes, in addition to large hail and damaging winds, may increase by or shortly after Saturday morning.

Meanwhile, A Pacific frontal system will move onshore along the West coast tonight, bringing widespread rain and mountain snow.  As the system moves inland, snow will spread into portions of the Great Basin and Four Corners region on Friday as this system becomes one of the significant storms expected to impact the states.  Winter Storm Warnings are in effect and some of the higher elevations could see as much as 4 feet of snow fall as this system passes through.    For lower elevations, rain and wind will be the issue with many counties under High Wind Warnings.    Some areas in this region have already seen as much as 6 inches of rain over the last few days and flooding is an issue.   Scattered convective development appears possible during the day Friday, in the presence of lower/mid tropospheric warm advection. The convective layer may be sufficient for low topped supercells, with a risk for strong surface gusts and perhaps a tornado.  The severe threat dies out overnight Friday but heavy snow will be possible through Saturday morning for the mountains in California as well as areas from the Mogollon Rim to the central and southern Rockies.  By late Saturday into Saturday night, rain and mountain snow will begin to increase once again from central California northward along the coast as another frontal system approaches from the Northwest.  Rain and snow will start first in Washington and Oregon before shifting south across California and the Rockies.   Winter Storm Watches are already beginning to go into effect for this system with the forecast calling for an additional 1 to 3 feet in the higher elevations.

 

On Saturday, widespread showers and thunderstorms are once again expected from the Gulf Coast and lower Mississippi valley to the Southeast along and ahead of a developing warm front.  Some storms could become severe by Saturday night and Sunday morning as the trough that’s currently moving onto the west coast shifts east across the Southern Plains by Saturday evening.  Any storms that form here will do so in an environment with steep midlevel lapse rates, moderate buoyancy, and sufficient deep-layer shear for supercells capable of producing large hail (potentially some very large) and damaging winds.  The stronger low-level wind profiles are expected farther east and overnight in association with a lead speed max progressing inland from the Gulf.  Enhancement to low-level shear from south and southeast AL into the FL Panhandle and southwest GA will favor supercells with damaging winds and potentially some tornado risk, depending on the details on the low-level shear and near-ground lapse rates inland.  The Storm Prediction Center has given this area a slight risk at this time but I expect that this will increase as the forecast period gets closer.

Model guidance continues to show a fair amount of uncertainty with the significant storms at the end of this weekend.   The system will be lifting from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Northeast early next week and could potentially become a significant east coast storm, bringing severe weather to the Southeast and heavy precipitation through New England as the next system moves on shore from the pacific.   The timing and strength of the significant storms has below average confidence at this time, but that will improve as we get a better look at the storm systems involved as they move over land.  There is likely to be a large number of people who will see rain or snow to start next week.

 

Rob

 

Late Week Winter Weather (Southern Plains)?

The end of the upcoming week into the weekend needs to be monitored closely for the Southern Plains. This time period is still several days out, and as you all know, a lot will change; this is definitely a fluid forecast–as are most winter forecasts for the Texas and Oklahoma.

After a nice warming trend takes place through the work week, another arctic airmass will dislodge and move southward into the Plains. The movement of these airmasses is not forecast well with numerical guidance. The guidance tends to struggle with the movement as well as the temperatures associated with arctic airmasses. This will be an issue coming up by late in the week because as the airmass dives into Oklahoma, a potent upper level low will be positioned to the southwest of the Southern Plains.

This low will aid in precipitation chances, making the atmospheric temperature profile very crucial to evaluate. Will the precipitation remain all rain? Could there be frozen or freezing precipitation? That’s the million dollar question. Right now, it does appear some areas will see wintry precipitation by Friday, potentially lasting into the weekend. The modeled soundings show more of a freezing rain or sleet scenario due to a stout warm nose above our heads.

Again, this is several days out, but confidence is increasing that some areas will see wintry precipitation so I wanted to give you all a heads up on the potential event. Keep checking back for details. The map below is the area I am monitoring for the greatest chance to see wintry precipitation at this moment.

Blizzard Warning, Storm targets East Coast

A Blizzard Warning is in effect for Virginia and Massachusetts as a major winter storm takes shape in the southeastern United States.

Blizzard Warning

The rain/snow line continues to slowly collapse over the Carolinas as surface temperatures begin to approach freezing in places like Fayetteville, Goldsboro, Greenville and Elizabeth City at this hour, which is 4 AM EST. Heavy and steady snow is falling across Virginia with the worst expected near the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay, where strong winds and heavy snow will cause blizzard conditions, prompting the issuance of a Blizzard Warning.

 

Blizzard Warning for Virginia

As the storm moves up and along the coast, many coastal locations will slowly get in on the snowfall, but the most snow is expected along the coastline near Norfolk, Hampton Roads, Virginia Beach and Chesapeake Virginia, where the Blizzard Warning is in place until 10 PM Saturday night . Blizzard conditions will be found in this area where 6-12 inches of snow will fall. Winds will be sustained at 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph reducing visibilities with blowing and drifting snow. Most counties in Virginia remain under a Winter Storm Warning and will see several inches of snow as forecast by Matt and Chris in earlier articles, maps, and posts to the Facebook page.

New Jersey and the Delmarva

The storm will move off the Mid-Atlantic coast late tonight into Saturday morning. While the major metro areas around New York City, Newark, Trenton, Philadelphia down to Baltimore and D.C will be spared major snowfalls, regions to those cities Southeast will see snow overspread the area from the South late tonight into the early morning hours of Saturday. The snow will be heavy at times during the morning and early afternoon and will taper off from west to east during the late afternoon and early evening.

Warnings and Advisories

A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 3 am to 6 PM EST Saturday for Atlantic, Cape May, Ocean, Cumberland and Southeastern Burlington County in New Jersey, Kent and Sussex County in Delaware and Caroline, Dorchester, Worcester, Somerset, St. Mary’s, Talbot, and Wicomico County in Maryland for 4-7 inches of snow. Winds will be out of the northwest at 5-10 mph increasing to 15-20 mph. Winds gusts into the 30 mph range can be expected, especially along the coast. Visibility could drop to less than 1/2 mile. While it’s possible that blizzard conditions could exist for a short time period in this area, a Blizzard Warning will not be issued.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks and Philadelphia County in Pennsylvania, New Castle County in Delaware, Camden, Monmouth, Gloucester, Northwestern Burlington, and Salem County in New Jersey, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Cecil, Central and Southeastern Howard, Central and Southeastern Montgomery, Charles, Kent, Prince George’s, Queen Anne’s, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore County in Maryland as well as Washington D.C. 1-3 inches of snow is generally expected in this area with winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph. Snow will start from South to North tonight into Saturday morning and end West to East Saturday afternoon into the overnight hours.

 

New England and Long Island

A major winter storm will strike Southeastern New England with blizzard to near blizzard conditions likely and significant snow accumulations across much of Eastern New England. Snowfall Friday Morning brought a general accumulation of 3-5 inches across Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island with isolated amounts up to 7 inches on parts of Cape Cod and the Islands where snowfall rates briefly reached 1- inches per hour while lighter snowfall amounts occurred to the north and west of Boston.

Snow should overspread the region from Southwest to Northeast during the late morning hours on Saturday. The heaviest snow, and likely blizzard conditions will be between 4 PM and 10 PM, with the snow tapering off from there during the overnight hours.

Warnings and Advisories

A Blizzard Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Cape Cod and the Islands, Coastal Plymouth County for 12 to 18 inches of snow. Strong Northeasterly winds of 20-30 miles per hour with gusts to 45 mph will cause blowing and drifting snow to combine with the heavy snowfall to reduce visibilities to less than 1/4 mile at times.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday until 4 AM Sunday for Bristol County and Western and Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-16 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40 MPH range.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk Southern Worcester and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts, New London, Tolland, Windham, New Haven, and Middlesex County in Connecticut and Eastern Suffolk County in New York for 4-8 inches of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow. Blizzard conditions may exist for a short time period along the coast, but they will not last long enough to cause the issuance of a Blizzard Warning in these counties.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 AM to 10 PM Saturday for Northwest Middlesex, Northern Worcester Franklin Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Massachusetts, Fairfield, Litchfield and Hartford Counties in Connecticut and Western Suffolk county in New York for 3-6 inches of snow.

Areas outside of the advisory will likely see a coating to 3 inches of snow with the 3inches amounts closest to the advisory area.

Lake Effect Snow Warning

A Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 1 PM EST Sunday for Oswego and Southern Lewis Counties. the highest amounts will near and south of the Tug Hill.

Snow should accumulate 4 to 8 inches during the course of the day on Saturday, and then add another 5 to 10 inches Saturday night with another 2 to 4 inches before the band tapers off on Sunday. This totals too 11 to 22 inches of snow from now until early Sunday afternoon.

For the Jamestown area off Lake Erie, the Lake Effect snow will take a break on Saturday, but will be back later on Saturday night into Sunday.

Robert Millette

Firsthand Weather

Speaking of weather warnings, my friend recently had a serious slip on ice and did her some damage. She decided to sue. She looked into legal representation similar to Cambridge slip and fall lawyer, to begin with. But in the end, she decided to go with different legal aid and that lawyer helped her out so much.

Advisories spread across the South and East

As the storms approach the region, we’ve been able to see the spread of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Watches all across the Eastern half of the country.    Winter Weather advisories extend as far South as New Roads Louisiana, Monroeville Alabama, to near Macon Georgia.

The Advisories in effect over Kentucky and Tennessee are associated with a minor system moving through the Center of the country into the Appalachians and off the East coast tonight.  This system will move off the East Coast on Friday and travel up towards New England.  Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for Coastal areas as well, but the main Warnings out for the northeast are for the Lake Effect snows occurring in Western New York.

Some of these lake effect bands have been causing very heavy snow, This photo was taken in Hamburg New York where traffic has come to a complete standstill.

Courtesy NE Emergency News

As of this morning, The buffalo National Weather Service was reporting some very high totals for Lake Effect amounts, and the totals have only gone higher throughout today.

Perrysburg was the big winner earlier today near Buffalo, though that band impacted Buffalo later in the day.  However, as seen below, NWS Albany and Buffalo took focus on the Watertown area, where another 18-24 inches are expected though Friday evening.

The first storm, which has brought snow to Nebraska down through Kentucky and Tennessee.  That snow will spread east tonight across West Virginia into with rain and snow into Virginia.

This image shows both storms, with the first storm over the Atlantic just after midnight, with the second storm still over the Rockies.

The first storm will shift off the coast, as seen here.

Advisories

Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands, Southern Rhode Island and Block Island,  New York City, Long Island, Coastal Southern
Connecticut, portions of northeastern New Jersey, and southern Westchester County. These areas will see between 2-5 inches of snow, with some locally higher or lower amounts.  This storm will pull away from New England later on Friday.  After that, the second storm will approach from the Southeast on Saturday.  From Washington D.C South and east toward the coast, should see 5-8 inches, as seen on the snowfall map posted by Chris earlier.   The storm will pass southeast of New England and will leave plowable snow over the weekend.

Advisories

We will have all the further details for what to expect along the coast on Friday.

 

Robert Millette

Firsthand Weather