A quick update on Hurricane Ida. Ida continues to gain strength over the warm Gulf of Mexico waters and is now a category 2 with winds of 100 mph. The hurricane will intensify into a major hurricane today, possibly reaching category 4 strength late today or Sunday.
Hurricane Warnings are in effect for all of southeast Louisiana with Tropical Storm Warnings stretching up into southern Mississippi. Tropical storm conditions are expected this evening with landfall along the Louisiana coast around 7 p.m. Sunday.
Significant storm surge (up to 15 feet), damaging winds (in excess of 130 mph), and flooding rainfall (up to 15 inches) are expected as Ida moves inland.
Ida intensified into a hurricane Friday. Further strengthening is forecast over the weekend with Ida becoming a major hurricane on Saturday. Additional strengthening is expected on Sunday with Ida making landfall as a category 4 hurricane Sunday afternoon. Category 5 status cannot be ruled out. Regardless of category 4 or 5, the impacts will be the same for the Gulf Coast–devastating.
Tropical alerts have been issued for the Gulf Coast from the Texas/Louisiana border to the Alabama/Florida border and will inland to the I-20 corridor in Louisiana and Mississippi. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for most of southern Louisiana, including New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Watch the latest video detailing Ida’s impacts.
Ida will create a large swath of hazards not only for coastal areas but spreading far inland this weekend and next week. Storm surge, heavy rain causing flooding, and strong winds leading to power outages are possible. Here is the latest video forecast detailing the impacts.
Tropical Storm Ida forms in the Caribbean. Ida is a weak tropical storm with winds up to 40 mph. A rather quick intensification is expected late week and over the weekend. Ida is forecast to reach category 2 status Sunday morning, growing into a major category 3 hurricane late Sunday. Landfall is currently expected to occur along the Louisiana coast late Sunday or early Monday as a major category 3 hurricane.
Significant impacts are expected for the north-central Gulf Coast, spreading inland into the Mid-South, Tennessee Valley, parts of the Southeast, and parts of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic from early week through the end of the upcoming week.
Tropical Depression Nine forms in the Caribbean Thursday. TD9 will intensify into Tropical Storm Ida later today with further strengthening into a Hurricane forecast by this weekend.
As Ida enters the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, strengthening into at least a Category 2 Hurricane is expected–A Major Hurricane (Category 3, 4, 5) cannot be completely ruled out early-Sunday. It does appear the system will weaken a touch before landfall.
Landfall will occur early Monday in Louisiana based on the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center. A jog east or west is possible so all areas along the northern Gulf Coast need to keep a close eye on the forecast over the coming days. Because of the uncertainty, the upper Texas coast and Mississippi coast are also within the cone.
A low pressure in the Caribbean will develop into a tropical depression over the coming days. This area of low pressure has a high chance (80%) to develop over the next 5 days. Right now, the low pressure is relatively broad and lacking organized thunderstorm activity, but that will change as the low pressure moves into a more favorable environment for development.
The Waverly Department of Public Safety published a list of those who are still unaccounted for after Saturday’s catastrophic flooding in Humphreys County, Tennessee. 22 deaths have been confirmed as of Monday morning.
Residents are urged to call 931-582-6950 or go to McEwen High School if they’ve physically seen or talked to the following people.
The death toll continues to climb Sunday after catastrophic floodwaters swept through Middle Tennessee. As of Sunday, the death toll stands at 22 with dozens of people still missing. The hardest-hit area is Humphreys County, which is just west of Nashville.
Slow-moving summer showers and storms developed Saturday, continuing through much of the day, dumping extremely heavy rainfall. Almost a foot and a half (17 inches of rain in McEwen–Humphreys County) fell in parts of the state leading to devastating flash flooding. This heavy rain sent the Piney River (at Vernon) to a record crest of nearly 32 feet. This surpassed the record by 12 feet (2019).
The recovery efforts are underway as the water begins to recede and intense searches are ongoing to locate dozens of people who are unaccounted for after Saturday’s flood.
Henri has continued to strengthen off the East Coast and is now a category 1 hurricane with winds of 75 mph. The hurricane is now rapidly moving north-northeast.
Additional intensification is expected tonight before landfall occurs on Long Island or southern New England late Sunday as a category 1 hurricane. The system will then move over the Northeast and back over the Atlantic, skirting the coast of Maine, early-week.
Because of the forecast track and expected impacts, southern New England and Long Island are under a Hurricane Warning. There is also a Tropical Storm Warning for areas farther west and inland, including New York City.
A significant storm surge is expected as Henri approaches tonight and Sunday. The greatest storm surge will occur from Long Island into coastal Rhode Island and Massachusetts where a storm surge of 3 to 5 feet is expected. Significant coastal flooding will occur.
Heavy rain will fall across the Northeast tonight, Sunday, and early next week. The heaviest rain will fall in New England where 3 to 6 inches of rain is forecast. Isolated higher amounts are possible.
A rather cool storm system will bring the first flakes of the season to parts of the west over the next 36-hours. Peaks in Montana, Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado can expect snow, some of which will accumulate.
The first flakes will begin to fly tonight in Montana with the flakes eventually falling in Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado by Thursday. By the time the flakes stop flying, accumulations are expected. The best chance for accumulations will be above 10,000 feet where a few inches will fall. A light dusting is possible down to 9,000 feet with the rain/snow line as far down as 8,000 feet.
While August snow is not unheard of in August for these areas, it is not a frequent occurrence this early in the season. Snow becomes more common in September for these areas.
This is just an early reminder that fall and winter are right around the corner!
There is now a high tornado risk for parts of North Carolina and South Carolina this afternoon and evening per the Storm Prediction Center. The threat is due to Tropical Depression Fred continuing to move inland across the Southeast. Areas to the east of Fred’s center all have a risk for tornadoes over the next few hours.
There is a Tornado Watch in effect for most areas within the tornado risk area until 7 p.m. This is generally for Counties along and west of I-77.