Scattered thunderstorms have been ongoing across much of the Southern Plains over the past two days; expect this trend to continue on Wednesday. The upper-level ridge (that caused the 100+ temperatures across Oklahoma and Texas) continues to remain west of the region. This has allowed for an inverted trough to influence the region.
This trough, coupled with a weak boundary (located along the Red River this evening), will aid in fairly good thunderstorm coverage Wednesday afternoon. There may be isolated storms Wednesday morning, but once convective temperatures are met (around 1:00-2:00PM), storms will become more widespread. The heaviest storms will dump 1-3″ of rainfall due to the high moisture and slow storm motion. Be alert for frequent lighting and gusty winds associated with any thunderstorm that develops. Temperatures will top out in the low to mid 90s.
HRRR Simulated Radar (Wednesday Afternoon)
HRRR Rainfall Totals (Through Thursday Evening)
More rain chances will continue Thursday through Saturday. I’ll have an update tomorrow afternoon.