Hurricane Gonzalo has rapidly intensified into a major hurricane with sustained winds currently around 115 mph, and pressure is down to 970 mb. Latest recon data shows that this storm has rapidly intensified over the last few hours so the pressure has likely dropped and the winds have increased since the last advisory at 5 pm ET. Gonzalo will continue to head northwest before turning north and eventually northeast towards Bermuda. Bermuda was recently impacted by Fay, and Hurricane Gonzalo could even be a bigger blow to the island.
Right now, there is nothing that is stopping Gonzalo from rapidly intensifying since it is not currently being negatively impacted by shear, and the sea surface temperatures are warm enough to promote further strengthening. The strong upper-level trough that is currently moving across the United States will keep Gonzalo from hitting the United States and will be responsible for making the storm take a northeast turn. This is the same trough that was responsible for the severe weather across the United States this week.
As Gonzalo moves further north, it could be impacted by some shear (that may or may not cause the storm to weaken), and the waters up towards Bermuda will be several degrees cooler. There is the possibility that this could cause the storm to weaken some, but still, this storm will still likely be a damaging hurricane. If you live or have friends and family in Bermuda, make sure prepare for this potential impacts of this storm. Gonzalo is expected to hit or come close to Bermuda on Friday.
We’ll continue to keep a close watch on everything at Firsthand Weather, and be sure to follow us on Facebook for the latest updates on this powerful hurricane.
Matthew founded Firsthand Weather in July 2010. He attends the University of Oklahoma and is expected to graduate in May 2017 with a B.S. in Meteorology and a B.S. in Geographic Information Science along with a minor in Mathematics. While Matthew regularly provides short-range weather forecasts for his audience through a weekly newsletter and daily posts on social media, his specialty is in long-range and seasonal forecasting, and he utilizes his own research coupled with the latest peer-reviewed research to come up with the most accurate forecasts possible. Matthew’s latest research at the university level has involved determining Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) performance in the tropics, a region that has a much lower density of rain gauges to take accurate rainfall measurements. Matthew has completed coursework in dynamics, thermodynamics, cloud physics, calculus and differential equations, statistics, remote sensing, GIS, synoptic meteorology, and mesoscale meteorology. His goal is to provide his audience with a deeper understanding of what drives our weather and climate, while making it easy and enjoyable to learn.