Wednesday, October 23, 2019 11:51 AM

A wet period for the Southeast

Christopher Nunley

The ‘NWS Blend of Models’ is very aggressive with rainfall amounts over the Southeast (SE) over the next 9-days. It is possible this is overdone, but without a doubt, several inches of rain possible for a large part of the SE over the next week.

Figure 1: NWS Blend of Models rainfall accumulations

The Climate Prediction Center has a high probability of above average precipitation for the SE during this timeframe.

Figure 2: Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day precipitation probabilities

The SE needs rain because much of the region is ranging from abnormally dry to extreme drought conditions according to the most recent drought monitor. This amount of rain, however, is probably too much if these values were to verify.

Figure 3: Southeast drought monitor

Firsthand Weather will continue to have updates on this situation over the next few days.