Elsa made landfall as a Tropical Storm this morning north of Tampa Bay, Florida. Elsa will continue to track northeast through the Southeast, into the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast from mid-week through the end of the week. Elsa will weaken through Thursday into a Depression, but regain Tropical Storm status off the coast of the Northeast Friday as the system moves back over water.
The main concern is heavy rain with Elsa as the system moves northeast. Widespread 2-5″ of rain can be expected from Florida, into eastern Georgia, through the eastern Carolinas, and coastal parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. This will lead to isolated areas of flash flooding.
There is also a risk for strong wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. The tornado threat with Elsa on Wednesday will be for northern Florida, eastern Georgia, eastern South Carolina, and southern North Carolina.
The tornado threat shifts north on Thursday into eastern North Carolina and coastal Virginia.