Rain chances continue to look likely for parts of southern Oklahoma and northern Texas this afternoon. Isolated storms have developed late this morning near the Red River, and this trend will continue once convective temperatures are met in the region. It does appear the flash flood threat is increasing for northern Texas and southern Oklahoma. Current analysis shows a deformation region extending across the Red River. This, along with unusually high moisture levels, and slow storm movement will aid in the flash flood threat. The HRRR is concurring with the idea of widespread storms developing within this deformation region. Most areas will see less than 1″ of rainfall; however, some areas will see 2-3″, which will lead to isolated flash flooding.
HRRR Simulated Radar (This Afternoon)
HRRR Rainfall Totals (Today–the greatest flash flood threat is in the yellow-outlined areas)
Along with a flash flood threat, frequent lighting, and strong winds are possible with thunderstorms. Temperatures will be held in the low 90s in this region (much warmer temperatures are expected outside of the clouds/rain).