Severe storms and flooding are possible this week

An active workweek is shaping up for southern parts of the county. Thunderstorms will have the capability to produce severe weather and flash flooding. The thunderstorm chances get going quickly to start the workweek. On Monday, there is a chance for severe thunderstorms extending from the Southern Plains into the Mid-South for Monday afternoon, evening, and into the nighttime hours.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted an area in this region from northern Texas north and east into western Kentucky for the potential of severe thunderstorms. There is a Level 1 [also known as a marginal risk] severe risk (dark green) and a Level 2 [also known as a slight risk] severe risk (yellow) across the region on Monday.

Monday’s thunderstorm outlook from the SPC

All modes of severe weather are possible late-in-the-day Monday. This includes damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. The greatest tornado probability exists from northern Texas, southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, northern Louisiana, northwestern Mississippi, western Tennessee, southern Missouri, southern Illinois, and western Kentucky.

Monday’s tornado probability forecast from the SPC

The severe thunderstorm chances continue into Tuesday but the storm chances shift farther south and east. Severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day on Tuesday for the Deep South into the Tennessee Valley.

The SPC has highlighted parts of this region from southeastern Texas north and east into southern Kentucky for the potential of severe thunderstorms. There is a Level 1 [also known as a marginal risk] severe risk (dark green) and a Level 2 [also known as a slight risk] severe risk (yellow) across the region on Tuesday.

All modes of severe weather are possible Tuesday. This includes damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. The greatest tornado threat appears to be from northeastern Louisiana into Mississippi, south-central Tennessee, and northwestern Alabama within the Level 2 severe risk.

Tuesday’s thunderstorm outlook from the SPC

Not are severe thunderstorms a concern but so is heavy rainfall. Heavy rain is expected across the region this workweek in which a widespread 1-3 inches of rain is in the forecast with a bullseye of 3-6 inches over northern Mississippi, northern Alabama, northern Georgia, western North Carolina, Tennesee, Kentucky, and West Virginia. This is where there is a low-end flood risk on Monday & Tuesday with another heavy rain (possibly some freezing rain & wintry precipitation) Thursday into Friday for parts of Arkansas, northwestern Tennesee, Kentucky, and West Virginia.

Precipitation forecast from the WPC

If you live within or near a severe risk area outlined on the maps above or near or within the heavy rain zone, please make sure you’re aware of your surroundings. Have reliable sources to receive weather information and warnings from, and know what to do if a warning is issued for your area.