Tropical Storm Colin has been named in the Gulf of Mexico as he strengthened this afternoon.
Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect from Indian Pass to Englewood Florida. Colin’s winds are now 40 miles per hour with a minimum central pressure of 1003 millibars. Colin is currently 460 miles Southwest of Tampa and is moving north at 9 miles per hour. It is possible that the Warning area may be expanded along the Southeast coast towards Pensacola if Colin’s wind field continues to expand. The west coast of Florida should experience a storm surge of 1-3 feet from Indian Pass to Tampa Bay with 1-2 feet expected south of Tampa Bay to Florida Bay. Heavy surf and some minor coastal flooding are expected but the main storm surge should occur away from the time of high tide and that will help mitigate the damage.
Tropical Storm Watches have now been issued from Altamaha Sound in Georgia to the Flagler/Volusia County line in Florida. These areas should expect Tropical Storm conditions late Monday into Tuesday. Colin is not expected to weaken much as he crosses Florida as his forward speed will make the journey across the state in less than 10 hours.
Rain will be heavy throughout the area, with 3 to 5 inches expected across the region. Locally heavier amounts are possible where tropical downpours train over the same area. There is a risk of tornadoes throughout the Central and Northern Florida region extending into Southern Georgia.
Areas along the coast further into the Carolinas should pay attention to this system as it moves closer as heavy rain is possible in this area. This could exacerbate existing conditions and cause additional flooding.
Firsthand Weather will continue to keep an eye on Colin and should have another article out in the morning bringing you the latest in information as this system approaches Florida.