Saturday, May 28, 2022 4:13 PM

Tropical development is possible in the Gulf of Mexico this upcoming week

Christopher Nunley

The National Hurricane Center is keeping a close eye on the Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development this upcoming week.

Join the Firsthand Weather Supporter Group today to see a video update on the system.

Saturday morning, the National Hurricane Center highlighted the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico within a 20% chance (low) for tropical development this upcoming week.

8 am EDT May 28: A broad low pressure area could form around the middle of next week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system currently has a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. See for more.

— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) May 28, 2022

A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop as environmental conditions become favorable for potential organization. This organization and strengthening could allow for a tropical cyclone to eventually develop although the odds are currently low.

Those odds could increase over time as shear is forecast to become low over the Gulf of Mexico and the sea surface temperatures are anomalously warm. Firsthand Weather has been closely monitoring the Gulf of Mexico for this potential development.

It’s too early to determine which areas could see impacts from this system, tropical or not, but all interests along the Gulf Coast and Southeast Coast should keep a close eye on the forecast over the coming days.

The first name on the 2022 Atlantic Names List is Alex. The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins June 1. See NOAA’s Hurricane Outlook for 2022.