Firsthand Weather is monitoring the potential for a multi-day severe weather event from Tuesday through Thursday ranging from the Southern Plains to the Mid-Atlantic. There’s increased concern for a potential severe & tornado outbreak on Wednesday for the Deep South & Mid-South. All the ingredients are coming together to support numerous thunderstorms that could be discrete in nature producing several tornadoes throughout the day Wednesday into the evening hours. While there are still some questions and the event is a few days out, it appears strong, violent tornadoes are possible from eastern Louisiana, southeastern Arkansas, Mississippi & western Alabama

Because of the appreciable severe threat on Wednesday, the Storm Prediction Center has already outlined parts of the South within a slight (yellow – level 2/5) & enhanced (orange – level 3/5) severe risk. It’s likely additional areas will be included & an upgrade to at least a moderate (level 4/5) severe risk will be issued over the coming days.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/spcd4prob_us_se_c3f7677e7d.png)

Wednesday’s severe risk

If you live in or near the severe risk area, please go ahead and begin planning for potentially significant severe weather on Wednesday. Have a plan in place a warning is issued for your area, know what to do if a warning is issued, and have reliable weather sources to receive these warnings & forecast updates from. Stay tuned!

spcd4prob.us_se.png

Growing concerns of a tornado outbreak this week

A late-season cold snap will bring freezing temperatures and even some snow to parts of the Southeast this weekend. The snow will be confined to the higher elevations of eastern Tennessee, western North Carolina, and farther north into Virginia and West Virginia overnight Friday into Saturday. Light accumulations are possible above 4,000 feet where 1-3 inches of snow is possible. Above 5,000 feet, up to half a foot is possible in eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/NAM_CONUS_3_km_Snowfall_Snowfall_60_417265d8aa.png)

Snow accumulation forecast Friday night through Saturday

While snow is not expected farther south and at lower elevations, cold temperatures are expected. Temperatures will be below average this weekend with a push of chilly air but the coldest temperatures will occur during the overnight hours on Saturday & Sunday. Radiational cooling will allow temperatures to dip to or below freezing for most of Tennessee, northern Alabama, northern Georgia, Upstate South Carolina, and much of North Carolina by Sunday morning & Monday morning. If you have planted gardens or flowers, make sure you protect them from the freeze and bring the pets inside. Even a frost is possible as far south as central Alabama, central Georgia, and central South Carolina.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/NWS_NDFD_Records_2_m_Daily_Low_T_2_m_Daily_Low_T_2_2_aa1a69da24.png)

Sunday morning low temperature forecast

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/NWS_NDFD_Records_2_m_Daily_Low_T_2_m_Daily_Low_T_3_2_9d1afb169d.png)

Monday morning low temperature low forecast

The cold snap will be short-lived. Temperatures will climb to and above average after this weekend. In fact, spring-like severe storms are possible next week.

Screen-Shot-2022-03-25-at-8.13.19-AM.png

Late-season cold snap & snow this weekend

Monday was a very active severe weather and tornado day for parts of the Southern Plains and the severe threat continues today (Tuesday). There have already been numerous Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and Tornado Warnings today for parts of the South and that is expected to continue this afternoon & evening with an uptick in the number & intensity of severe storms. The atmosphere will also become primed for tornadoes today some of which could become strong tornadoes (EF3-EF5). In fact, there’s already a Tornado Watch in effect for areas of the South. This Tornado Watch includes parts of southeastern Louisiana and much of Mississippi until 7 PM CDT. Additional Tornado Watches could be issued today.

> A tornado watch has been issued for southeastern Louisiana and southern/central Mississippi until 7 PM CDT. Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging winds (some 75+ mph) are the main threats this afternoon and early evening. Large hail may also occur. [pic.twitter.com/hZ7nUk3kDA](https://t.co/hZ7nUk3kDA)
> 
> — NWS Storm Prediction Center (@NWSSPC) [March 22, 2022](https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1506295447794634765?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

Because of the severe threat, the Storm Prediction Center has outlined a severe risk area for today. There is a moderate (red – level 4/5), enhanced (orange – level 3/5), slight (yellow level 2/5), and marginal (dark green – 1/5) severe risk for parts of the South. The moderate severe risk includes southern Louisiana, central and southern Mississippi, and west-central Alabama; while the enhanced severe risk surrounds the moderate severe risk, including northern Mississippi and western Alabama. The severe risk will slowly shift from west to east across the risk area this afternoon & evening. A few severe storms & tornadoes could continue into the nighttime hours.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/F_Od_Iu_JVEAAC_8i_ddd7e8690a.jpeg)

Today’s (Tuesday) severe risk

Within the severe risk areas, all modes of severe weather are possible. This includes tornadoes, hail, and wind. A few strong tornadoes cannot be ruled out. The favored areas to see strong tornadoes are the areas within and near the moderate and enhanced severe risk areas. If you live in or near the severe risk areas, please keep aware of the weather throughout the day, have reliable sources to receive updated warnings from, and have a plan in place to immediately act if a warning is issued.

The severe threat shifts to the Southeast, Carolinas, & Mid-Atlantic tomorrow (Wednesday).

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/spcd2cat_us_se_e532800597.png)

Tomorrow’s (Wednesday) severe risk

FOd-IuJVEAAC-8i.jpeg

Strong tornadoes are possible for the South today

Today is the first day of spring and spring-like thunderstorms are possible this week. The first outbreak of severe thunderstorms is possible Monday (3/21) and Tuesday (3/22) for parts of the Southern Plains & South. The severe risks include tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. A few of the tornadoes could be strong both Monday and Tuesday along with very large hail on Monday.

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted an area on Monday for severe storms which includes southern Oklahoma, most of the heart of Texas, southwestern Arkansas, and western Louisiana for severe thunderstorms Monday afternoon, evening, and into the overnight hours (severe risk shifting from west to east). There’s an enhanced (orange) severe risk (level 3/5) for central and southeastern Texas.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/FOS_97kl_Uc_AAHGKZ_ee4da738d6.jpeg)

Monday’s severe risk

The severe risk shifts east and continues on Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted an area on Tuesday for severe storms which includes southeastern Texas, southeastern Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle for severe thunderstorms throughout the day on Tuesday. The severe risk will shift from west to east from the morning hours (west of the Mississippi) into the afternoon & evening hours (east of the Mississippi) on Tuesday. There’s an enhanced (orange) severe risk (level 3/5) for central, southern & eastern Louisiana, central & southern Mississippi, and western Alabama with a moderate (red) severe risk (level 4/5) for southeastern Louisiana and central Mississipi.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/FOS_98dh_Vs_A_Au_No_C_886c1aa1d7.jpeg)

Tuesday’s severe risk

Again, all modes of severe storms are possible including strong, violent tornadoes. Please keep aware of the weather over the coming days, have a plan in place in case a watch/warning is issued for your area, and have reliable weather sources to receive watch/warning information from.

Screen-Shot-2022-03-20-at-9.35.10-AM.png

A severe thunderstorm & tornado outbreak is possible this week

A winter storm will unfold across parts of the Mid-South, South, and Tennesse Valley tonight into Saturday morning. The winter storm will allow for snow to fall as south as I-20 in some areas with moderate to heavy snow accumulations for parts of central Arkansas, northern Mississippi, northern Alabama, northern Georgia, Tennessee, and western North Carolina. These areas could see a widespread 2-4 inches of snow with some areas seeing closer to 8 inches. Snow amounts this high will cause some travel issues especially with the snow falling overnight into the early morning hours before the higher sun angle has a chance to help melt the snow.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/Screen_Shot_2022_03_11_at_2_26_04_PM_ec094eaf8a.png)

Because of the moderate to heavy snow accumulations and travel impacts possible, winter weather alerts have been issued for many areas. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for all the aforementioned areas tonight into Saturday morning.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/nwshaz_us_ov_4c21ce9be2.png)

Stay warm, be safe, and enjoy the snow!

Screen-Shot-2022-03-11-at-2.26.04-PM.png

Snowfall forecast Friday night through Saturday; some areas could see over half a foot

A winter storm will impact parts of the South late Friday into Saturday. This storm system will deliver accumulating snow as far south as I-20 in parts of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Ahead of the winter storm, winter weather alerts have gone up.

![](https://firsthandweather.s3.amazonaws.com/Screen_Shot_2022_03_10_at_3_42_41_PM_8150cad934.png)

Within the Winter Storm Watch and Winter Weather Advisory, accumulating snow is possible. A general 1-3 inches of snow can be expected with isolated higher amounts possible for some areas. **[See more details on the winter storm here](https://firsthandweather.com/southern-winter-storm-on-the-way/)**.

**[Severe weather and tornadoes are also possible Friday & Saturday for parts of the Southeast](https://firsthandweather.com/severe-storms-tornadoes-possible-for-the-southeast-friday-saturday/)**.

All blogs

Growing concerns of a tornado outbreak this week

Late-season cold snap & snow this weekend

Strong tornadoes are possible for the South today

A severe thunderstorm & tornado outbreak is possible this week

Snowfall forecast Friday night through Saturday; some areas could see over half a foot

Winter Storm Watches & Winter Weather Advisories go up for the South